Personal loan
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you are correct in all your assumptions. And that is what makes it complicated.
a new card will increase your score. a hard inquiry is only a problem if you aren't approved, or don't take the loan/line, then you see the reduction in score. if you take the loan/line the improvement is greater than the loss.
My advice to this would be based on your current credit position. You aren't very likely to get a personal loan with no other credit lines, or very young credit.
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